Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 1.880440 2.162663 2.472911 2.839307 3.260284 3.728961 4.290553
2025-06-08 1.457243 1.819129 2.250345 2.802218 3.490223 4.320389 5.399443
2025-06-15 1.252422 1.678326 2.222465 2.969063 3.968036 5.260533 7.063473
2025-06-22 1.060082 1.512649 2.127669 3.025256 4.304019 6.064182 8.678519
2025-06-29 0.889775 1.343179 1.994401 2.998982 4.513112 6.716427 10.178992
2025-07-06 0.730283 1.160086 1.809135 2.861946 4.531930 7.087738 11.315460
2025-07-13 0.662349 1.102692 1.799022 2.981995 4.948811 8.102023 13.570319
2025-07-20 0.609862 1.060340 1.803733 3.121931 5.411173 9.242702 16.184978
2025-07-27 0.558229 1.010610 1.787397 3.220933 5.813713 10.331021 18.857623
2025-08-03 0.505542 0.950580 1.743758 3.263429 6.118826 11.284696 21.417489
2025-08-10 0.442195 0.861650 1.635888 3.172536 6.165380 11.775492 23.185531
2025-08-17 0.381157 0.768190 1.506654 3.022064 6.075586 11.995010 24.454478
2025-08-24 0.342120 0.713906 1.447926 3.007002 6.260620 12.790423 27.030419
2025-08-31 0.303556 0.655131 1.372601 2.948264 6.350216 13.411138 29.348122
2025-09-07 0.290687 0.648287 1.401967 3.111927 6.928296 15.113399 34.218368
2025-09-14 0.269115 0.619420 1.380977 3.163797 7.271799 16.364903 38.286692
2025-09-21 0.243461 0.577658 1.326207 3.132262 7.423724 17.216235 41.571664
2025-09-28 0.212875 0.520057 1.228132 2.986863 7.291348 17.405302 43.326795
2025-10-05 0.203631 0.511930 1.242860 3.110818 7.817289 19.198003 49.238749
2025-10-12 0.196236 0.507251 1.265046 3.256001 8.415869 21.246105 56.097797
2025-10-19 0.186851 0.496188 1.270120 3.358779 8.921985 23.134798 62.831205
2025-10-26 0.175155 0.477445 1.253416 3.402811 9.281762 24.701056 68.946171
2025-11-02 0.157960 0.441579 1.187905 3.307852 9.256911 25.261389 72.401033